Godzilla vs. Kong [Japanese] Box Office Watch1,569 Views7 RepliesAdd A Reply
Japanese Box Office: TBD
World Wide Total: TBD
This is really a placeholder until Godzilla vs. Kong releases in Japanese theaters on May 14th.
I generally enjoy watching the Japanese box office more than the American box office due to the differences in the way movies are released. Japan also values attendance numbers over gross, the amount of people who see this thing will be more important.
Although there have been fewer releases in Japan this year due to covid, this fact has actually spiked individual films and their success. For example, Demon Slayer: Mugen Train was released in theaters last October and became both the highest grossing and most attended film of all time in Japan because of audiences starving to go to theaters to see a new movie. Additionally, last weekend Shin Evangelion opened to a whopping $11 million and may end up being only the second film in Japanese history to break 3 Million Yen in 7 days. ($27/$28 million)
So in some ways the pandemic has helped movies at the Japanese box office. Theoretically, cir***stance has positioned Godzilla vs. Kong to do very well. But how much of a draw will foreign films have? Japanese films have been dominating at their box office and there haven't been many foreign films in the market this year.
It's possible cultural prejudice will set in. The only recent Hollywood film in Japan to compare with is Wonder Woman 1984. It flopped hard only making $1.1 Million and 79,000 in attendance. (About half of Planet of the Monsters.)
On the other hand DC/Marvel movies don't do very well in Japan anyway and it was released in December. Things are a lot different in Japan right now and Godzilla vs. Kong doesn't hit theaters until May. We'll see how it does in a Covid-era Japan. It should prove to be more interesting to watch than the US box office, since the theater/streaming model makes it difficult to gauge.
So what does Godzilla vs. Kong have to stack up against in comparison to recent films?
- Screens (at opening): 427
- Opening weekend: $5.0 million
- (Opening weekend counting Friday:) $6.7 million
- TOTAL GROSS: $31 million
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 2.23 million
Shin Godzilla (2016)
- Screens (at opening): 448
- Opening weekend: $6.1 million
- (Opening weekend counting Friday:) $8.2 million
- TOTAL GROSS: $79.2 million
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 5.69 million
Kong: Skull Island (2017)
- Screens (at opening): 676
- Opening weekend: $3.4 million
- TOTAL GROSS: $17.7 million
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 1.34 million
Godzilla: Planet of the Monsters (2017)
- Screens (at opening): 158
- Opening weekend: $1.3 million
- TOTAL GROSS: $3.1 million (est.)
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 169,000 (est.)
(Last official number before dropping from top 10: $3 million)
Godzilla: City on the Edge of Battle (2018)
- Screens (at opening): 159
- Opening weekend: $945,000
- TOTAL GROSS: $1.7 million (est.)
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 93,100 (est.)
(Last official number before dropping from top 10: $945,000)
Godzilla: The Planet Eater (2018)
- Screens (at opening): 158
- Opening weekend: $901,000
- TOTAL GROSS: $2.6 million (est.)
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 142,400 (est.)
(Last official number before dropping from top 10: $1.9 Million)
Godzilla: King of the Monsters (2019)
- Screens (at opening): 431
- Opening weekend: $6.3 million
- (Opening weekend counting Friday:) $8.6 million
- TOTAL GROSS: $25.8 million
- TOTAL ATTENDANCE: 1.91
It's important to remember that the anime films were initially envisioned as a television series and Toho heavily advertised the Netflix release. The thought process was Toho had likely made up all of its money for those films through the Netflix deal. The theatrical release was merely to shake some extra change loose from the branches--After all, had it been a TV series the project wouldn't be in theaters at all. Note that Toho released those movies to significantly fewer screens compared to the others.
It's also worth noting that 1 million+ attendees in the 1970s was sustainable, considering the Japanese film industry had taken a massive economic hit that decade. Many studios shut down completely during the 1970s and Toho was only churning out a few movies a year. The declining audience forced massive budget cuts to the Godzilla series.
Also note that ticket prices depend on what type of movie is being released. (Hollywood, animated, drama, family, etc.) So one movie may be more expensive in Japan than another, which is why the gross doesn't consistently correlate to the attendance numbers.
Finally Japan doesn't usually include Fridays in their weekend numbers--That includes opening weekend.
Other Japanese box office watches:
Godzilla: Planet of the Monsters
Godzilla: City on the Edge of Battle
Godzilla: King of the Monsters
Godzilla Series attendance numbers:
Attendance including recent giant monster/kaiju films:
How to gauge success based on attendance:
1 million or under - Flop
1 million+ - Disappointment
2 million+ - Minor or Commercial Success
3 million+ - Major Hit
4 million+ - Blockbuster
5 million+ - Uber-Blockbuster
That’s a lot of math
Hope it goes well. Hasn't Japan done better with covid? If so, more people can go out to see it. I'm predicting atleast a commercial success.
The 98 movie did well. G14 was a success. Shin did very well. KotM was almost a success
1998 and KotM were very front loaded though. I probably also should have noted that 1998 came out in a decade where Hollywood films were more popular than Japanese films in Japan. In fact the ratio of Hollywood films to Japanese films released in the country was about 7 to 3. The Japanese film industry only had under 2,000 screens in the 1990s and it was still recovering from the economic turmoil of the 1970s. (In fact it arguably hasn't recovered to this day.)
Today, it's reversed. Japanese films are much more popular in Japan and they have well over 3,000 screens. Even then, however, it's very difficult for movies to crack 5 million tickets. It's interesting how cir***stance dictates the success of movies. Not unlike COVID in North America right now.
I HATE, JUST HATE coronavirus!!!!!!!
At least Godzilla Vs Kong is coming to HBO Max in 2 weeks...
Looks like Japan will have to wait longer. Due to the third state of emergency issued by the government in response to covid, Godzilla vs. Kong's release has been delayed indefinitely.